Alliance vs KMC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
30%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
COA
0 - 1
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
POL
1 - 0
AFC
32%
29%
39%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 0
MBE
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
TAN
39%
32%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 0
RUV
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
KMC
1 - 2
KAG
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
KMC
2 - 1
BUM
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
RUV
1 - 0
KMC
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
JKT
0 - 0
KMC
36%
30%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
KMC
1 - 1
NDA
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |