Alliance 01 vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance 01
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2004 |
ETZ
2 - 4
ALL
71%
18%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ALL
1 - 3
VIC
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
F91
3 - 0
ALL
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ALL
1 - 1
GRE
39%
26%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2004 |
JEU
2 - 2
ALL
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2004 |
SWI
1 - 3
AVE
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ULU
0 - 2
SWI
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 0
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SWI
0 - 1
ETZ
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 2
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |