Allerød vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
78.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.9%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 3
ALL
11%
14%
76%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 2
SKJ
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 2
ALL
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 2
HUI
36%
21%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 3
ALL
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HBK
3 - 4
FRE
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 1
HBK
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 4
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
4 - 2
HBK
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 2
ACH
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |