Allerheiligen vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
3.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+388%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
8º
5º
15
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 62 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 53 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 49 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 44 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 42 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 32 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
14º
|
57.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 20 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 9 |
16º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Allerheiligen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FRO
0 - 2
ALL
7%
13%
79%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HGK
1 - 3
ALL
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
UGA
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FEH
2 - 1
ALL
35%
22%
44%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 2
LEB
67%
17%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 1
FCS
20%
19%
61%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
0 - 1
ILZ
14%
18%
69%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
TUS
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 3
SVT
14%
17%
69%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 1
TUS
89%
7%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |