All Boys vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
33.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
All Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
INS
1 - 2
ALB
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
ALB
3 - 0
STM
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GIM
1 - 0
ALB
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 0
DAL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SUA
0 - 2
ALB
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
STM
0 - 0
DEF
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DEF
2 - 0
DAL
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 0
DEF
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 3
BRO
46%
30%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 1
DEF
31%
31%
39%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |