All Boys vs Brown Adrogué analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
All Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
GOD
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 1
ARS
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
RAC
3 - 1
ALB
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 2
VEL
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NOB
1 - 2
ALB
44%
30%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brown Adrogué
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 3
BRO
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 1
CCO
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ALM
1 - 1
BRO
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 1
VSC
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 0
TEM
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |