Cup Last 16
Global 8-0
Alki vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
ANO
0 - 0
ALK
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALK
1 - 2
AEL
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ARI
1 - 1
ALK
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 1
APO
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2011 |
ALK
0 - 3
OMO
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAF
1 - 0
APO
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
APE
1 - 0
PAF
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PAF
4 - 1
ATR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
DOX
2 - 1
PAF
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PAF
2 - 1
HAL
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |