Alki vs Ayia Napa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 1
ALK
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ALK
0 - 0
OLY
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
OMO
1 - 0
ALK
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALK
1 - 3
APO
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALK
0 - 2
PAP
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AYI
0 - 2
DOX
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ENO
1 - 0
AYI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AYI
0 - 1
ANO
18%
26%
56%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
APO
4 - 1
AYI
73%
19%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
AYI
0 - 4
AEL
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |