Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Alki vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALK
0 - 1
NEA
60%
21%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 0
ALK
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
ALK
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALK
2 - 1
APO
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
OLY
2 - 3
ALK
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ERM
0 - 1
AEK
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 0
ALK
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 1
ANO
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AEL
2 - 0
AEK
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AEK
1 - 0
ARI
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |