Alki vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
APO
1 - 2
ALK
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALK
0 - 4
OMO
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PAP
1 - 2
ALK
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALK
2 - 3
ANO
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
ALK
4 - 1
ONI
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AEK
1 - 1
ETH
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
AEK
2 - 0
DOX
59%
22%
18%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
APO
1 - 2
AEK
73%
18%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
AEK
1 - 2
OMO
21%
24%
56%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FRE
0 - 4
AEK
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |