Aljustrelense vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 0
ALJ
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIA
1 - 1
ALJ
25%
21%
55%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALJ
1 - 4
LOU
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAS
7 - 0
ALJ
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ALJ
0 - 1
SIN
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 0
ALJ
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 0
CIN
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOU
50%
25%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 1
SOU
22%
23%
55%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
TOU
0 - 3
COI
37%
27%
37%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |