Aljustrelense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALJ
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 3
LUS
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
3 - 1
ALJ
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALJ
2 - 1
PRA
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 2
FER
34%
24%
41%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
0 - 0
ANG
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
FER
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
MOU
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 0
MOU
32%
28%
40%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |