Aljustrelense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aljustrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
QUA
3 - 1
ALJ
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALJ
2 - 1
PRA
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 2
FER
34%
24%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
ALJ
52%
23%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALJ
3 - 1
PRA
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
3 - 1
ANG
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ANG
3 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
4 - 3
ATL
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |