Alicante vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
15.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
CDT
4 - 1
ALI
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BET
4 - 0
ALI
79%
12%
8%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ALI
3 - 1
ELD
73%
14%
12%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CDB
6 - 2
ALI
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ALI
4 - 3
ALG
78%
12%
10%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1956 |
VAL
2 - 5
BET
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ELD
2 - 1
VAL
61%
20%
19%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDB
65%
18%
17%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ALG
2 - 0
VAL
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
12%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |