Alicante vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
OSA
1 - 0
ALI
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2006 |
ALI
0 - 1
PON
55%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
PON
1 - 1
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
27%
24%
50%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
LEV
1 - 0
LLE
27%
28%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
LLE
0 - 1
LEV
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
ALM
3 - 1
LLE
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 2
LLE
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
LLE
2 - 1
RMC
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |