Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-9
Alicante vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
LOR
2 - 0
ALI
70%
20%
11%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 2
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ALB
0 - 1
ALI
75%
19%
7%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ALI
1 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
TOR
3 - 1
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MUR
2 - 1
ALA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
0 - 0
MUR
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MUR
3 - 0
GRA
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ALG
2 - 0
MUR
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
MUR
0 - 0
VAD
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |