Alicante vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1958 |
ALI
2 - 0
CDT
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
CCF
0 - 0
ALI
77%
14%
10%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
ALI
1 - 0
CAD
66%
18%
16%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
ALC
1 - 2
ALI
66%
18%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
ALI
1 - 1
ELD
61%
19%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
MUR
0 - 0
CDT
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
MUR
0 - 1
CCF
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
CAD
0 - 0
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
MUR
5 - 4
ALC
82%
11%
7%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ELD
2 - 1
MUR
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |