Alicante vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1957 |
MAL
3 - 1
ALI
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ALI
3 - 0
EXT
65%
18%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
SDC
3 - 0
ALI
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
ALI
2 - 0
PUE
72%
15%
13%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
GRA
4 - 0
ALI
78%
13%
9%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1957 |
MUR
1 - 3
BET
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
ELD
2 - 0
MUR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1957 |
MUR
3 - 0
CDB
79%
13%
8%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1957 |
ALG
3 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1957 |
MUR
3 - 2
CAS
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |