Alicante vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ALI
5 - 4
FER
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
BUR
4 - 2
ALI
29%
22%
49%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -3 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
ELC
0 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
ALI
5 - 1
IMP
65%
17%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
1 - 1
ALI
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1940 |
ELC
0 - 2
MUR
30%
22%
47%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
MUR
2 - 1
IMP
84%
10%
6%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
IMP
2 - 4
MUR
26%
22%
53%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1939 |
MUR
4 - 0
CAR
82%
11%
7%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
BUR
2 - 4
MUR
21%
21%
58%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | -1 |