Alicante vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1951 |
ALI
4 - 2
ORI
71%
15%
14%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
CAT
0 - 4
ALI
64%
17%
18%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ALI
4 - 3
MNC
71%
15%
14%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
CNC
3 - 3
ALI
70%
16%
15%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ALI
1 - 1
CAS
59%
19%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
MEL
2 - 2
SLA
56%
20%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
MEL
4 - 2
PUL
60%
20%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
BAL
3 - 0
MEL
64%
17%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
MEL
1 - 2
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
GRA
2 - 3
MEL
64%
19%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |