Alicante vs Mataró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RCD
2 - 4
ALI
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 0
FCB
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
41%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 1
HER
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mataró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 1
NOV
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 0
CEM
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
CEM
2 - 1
YEC
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 0
CEM
66%
21%
14%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
CEM
1 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |