Alicante vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
OSA
0 - 0
ALI
21%
27%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
ALI
6 - 0
ALC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ALI
0 - 1
LEV
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
ALI
27%
28%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
FIG
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
HER
1 - 2
GRA
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
HUE
0 - 0
HER
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
FCB
0 - 0
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
ZAR
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
RCD
3 - 0
HER
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |