Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
Alicante vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ALI
2 - 1
CIE
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ALI
3 - 0
IMP
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
ORI
1 - 0
ALI
54%
20%
26%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
ALI
6 - 1
ACE
67%
17%
17%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ALI
3 - 2
CDS
62%
18%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ELC
3 - 1
OLI
89%
7%
4%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
ELC
4 - 0
CAA
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
NAV
1 - 3
ELC
42%
22%
37%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
ELC
6 - 2
CIE
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
IMP
2 - 2
ELC
58%
19%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |