Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
Alicante vs Benidorm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ALI
5 - 0
VIJ
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ALI
2 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
ALI
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 2
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ORI
0 - 1
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benidorm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
BEN
4 - 0
OND
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 0
BEN
34%
29%
38%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 2
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
LEV
2 - 3
BEN
42%
29%
30%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
BEN
2 - 2
ELC
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |