Alicante vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
MHN
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 3
SEV
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALI
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 2
HER
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 1
ALI
67%
21%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 0
ALC
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
ALC
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
SAB
0 - 0
ALC
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |