Alianza vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 4
ALI
15%
22%
63%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ONC
0 - 2
ALI
18%
24%
59%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
ALI
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
FAS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
13%
21%
66%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
4 - 1
MET
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 1
SAN
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
ONC
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |