Alianza vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FIR
0 - 1
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 3
ALI
27%
25%
47%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 0
ALI
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 1
JOC
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
ALI
18%
22%
60%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
FAS
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
JOC
1 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
AGU
23%
28%
50%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ONC
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDP
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |