Alianza vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 0
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 2
AGU
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UES
1 - 3
ALI
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 2
ATL
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
FIR
2 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 6
JUV
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |