Alianza vs Santa Tecla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MET
3 - 0
ALI
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
FAS
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 1
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MET
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |