Alianza vs Pasaquina FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
FAS
1 - 2
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
IND
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
ALI
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
SFC
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pasaquina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
PAS
1 - 2
CDD
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
PAS
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PAS
0 - 2
CHA
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
FIR
1 - 1
PAS
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
PAS
1 - 1
FAS
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |