Alianza vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
6º
5º
32
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FIR
0 - 0
ALI
44%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
CDC
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
FIR
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
CDC
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 2
ONC
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
CDP
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 2
ONC
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 2
MET
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |