Alianza vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
1º
31
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
42%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGU
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 1
ALI
4%
10%
87%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
4 - 0
FUE
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 22 | 46 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
JOC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 3
ONC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
FUE
1 - 0
ONC
17%
23%
60%
|
61 | 20 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ONC
2 - 2
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
FIR
3 - 1
ONC
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ONC
0 - 2
FAS
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |