Alianza vs Once Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
FIR
0 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
MET
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
AGU
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Once Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 3
MET
15%
22%
63%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ONC
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 4
AGU
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ONC
3 - 2
UES
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |