Alianza vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
FAS
50%
24%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
ONC
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 3
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 1
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
MUN
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 2
CDP
55%
23%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 3
MUN
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 3
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |