Alianza vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FIR
1 - 2
ALI
20%
22%
59%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MUN
2 - 1
FAS
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FAS
2 - 1
MUN
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MET
2 - 0
MUN
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
MUN
1 - 0
SFC
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AGU
1 - 1
MUN
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |