Alianza vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 1
FAS
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
ALI
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALI
4 - 0
PAS
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
PAS
0 - 0
ALI
15%
19%
66%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
MUN
69%
17%
14%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 0
SAN
14%
16%
70%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 0
SFC
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 1
ALI
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |