Alianza vs Isidro Metapán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FAS
2 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
2 - 0
UES
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
JUV
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
FAS
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
UES
2 - 2
MET
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
JUV
6 - 1
MET
27%
24%
49%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |