Alianza vs CD Fuerte San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
9º
1º
17
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
6 - 1
CDD
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALI
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
JOC
1 - 2
ALI
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
FIR
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fuerte San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
FAS
17%
25%
58%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDD
3 - 2
FUE
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FUE
5 - 2
CDP
17%
23%
61%
|
30 | 63 | 33 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
FUE
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FUE
2 - 0
JOC
17%
23%
59%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | +3 |