Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
6º
2º
19
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 38 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 37 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 36 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 35 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 29 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 28 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 27 |
7º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 18 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 17 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 16 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 2
ALI
34%
27%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 2
ALI
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
FAS
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
ALI
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 2
MET
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
4 - 1
FIR
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
AGU
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
FIR
38%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
FIR
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
3 - 2
FUE
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |