Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALI
2 - 0
CDD
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 0
ALI
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALI
1 - 2
CDC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 4
ALI
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
MET
0 - 0
ALI
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
FAS
0 - 3
FIR
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FIR
1 - 0
CDD
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CDP
1 - 2
FIR
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 1
ONC
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 1
FIR
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |