Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CDD
0 - 0
ALI
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
0 - 0
PAS
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
FAS
1 - 2
ALI
26%
27%
47%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 0
IND
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FIR
1 - 0
IND
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
FIR
1 - 1
CDD
53%
25%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AGU
3 - 0
FIR
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FIR
3 - 2
SAN
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 1
FIR
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |