Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
UES
2 - 2
ALI
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
SFC
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MET
3 - 1
ALI
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
5 - 2
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FIR
4 - 2
UES
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
SFC
2 - 2
FIR
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FIR
1 - 3
MET
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 3
FIR
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FIR
0 - 1
CDD
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |