Clausura Finals Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Alianza vs L.A. Firpo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
ALI
1 - 1
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ONC
0 - 0
ALI
19%
26%
56%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
ALI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
FIR
2 - 1
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 2
FIR
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MET
0 - 0
FIR
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 3
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
FIR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |