Clausura Finals Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
ALI
28%
24%
47%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
ALI
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
FAS
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
ALI
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 0
ALI
28%
24%
47%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FAS
1 - 2
CDD
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 3
MET
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
FAS
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
FIR
1 - 1
FAS
30%
29%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |