Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 1
ALI
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
UES
1 - 2
FAS
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAS
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 3
SAN
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 0
FAS
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FAS
1 - 2
PAS
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |