Alianza vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
ALI
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 2
CHA
48%
23%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
30%
22%
48%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
SFC
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
FAS
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
FAS
2 - 1
MET
29%
27%
45%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
FAS
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAS
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |