Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
2º
2º
22
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
AGU
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
5 - 2
JOC
70%
20%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
CDP
53%
25%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
FAS
23%
28%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CDD
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FIR
0 - 1
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +3 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
CHA
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
MET
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |