Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 7-0
Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
5.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALI
9%
16%
75%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
SFC
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
8%
18%
74%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
ALI
17%
19%
64%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
4 - 1
PAS
78%
15%
6%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
ALI
9%
16%
75%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AGU
1 - 0
CHA
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
ALI
8%
18%
74%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
TFE
2 - 0
CHA
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 13 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MET
3 - 1
CHA
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |