Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
2 - 1
ALI
30%
28%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 0
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
ALI
38%
25%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
MET
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
CHA
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 4
AGU
23%
23%
54%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
FAS
48%
28%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
UES
4 - 0
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |