Apertura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Alianza vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
30%
22%
48%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
SFC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CDD
0 - 3
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 2
MET
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALI
30%
22%
48%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 0
FAS
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UES
0 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
6 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
SFC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |